However, there remains some uncertainty, according to the NWS' forecast discussion:
CONCERNS ARE INCREASING REGARDING THE POSSIBILITY OF A CLOSED OFF
CIRCULATION DEVELOPING OVER ARIZONA. NONE OF THE MODELS HAD
SUGGESTED THIS TO HAPPEN. IF STRENGTHENING OCCURS AS THE
CIRCULATION SHIFTS OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NEW MEXICO...THEN
ENHANCED LIFT ON IT`S NORTHERN FLANK WOULD FAVOR A TRACK DIRECTLY
OVER THE CWA.
MEANWHILE TIMING WOULD FAVOR RAIN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW AT ABOUT
THIS TIME. THE LATEST RUC80 MAY BE CATCHING ON WITH THE SYSTEM`S
STRUCTURE. 500 MB THETA E FIELDS ARE SHOWING A HIGH LEVEL TROWAL
DEVELOPING BY 18Z THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR WICHITA BACK INTO THE
PANHANDLES. I`M NOT GOING TO MAKE ANY DRASTIC CHANGES TO THE
SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION FORECAST AT THIS TIME...BUT WE`LL BE KEEPING A
CLOSE EYE ON THIS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
I doubt we'll see 11 feet of snow, as some parts of New York have seen, but I get the notion there's a possibility of us getting more than 1 to 2 inches. Honestly, I don't really want us to — or at least I don't want to miss any more school. I just have a hunch, though, that we could get more snow accumulation than expected. I know, I know, we'll probably wake up in the morning and not even a dusting will be on the ground.
Have a good Monday.